Analyst nails Bitcoin monthly close 2 months running — his October target is $63K

Market Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) was keen to retain $44,000 on Oct. 1 as the monthly close sparked a late show of strength.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

BTC monthly close matches PlanB prediction

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView followed BTC/USD as it first returned to the $44,000 mark Thursday, then test lower levels before heading even higher.

While still not tackling resistance at $45,000 and higher, Bitcoin did not disappoint with its end-of-month performance, this almost exactly matching predictions from stock-to-flow model creator PlanB for a second month running.

With $63,000 now planned for October, expectations were high for Bitcoin to make up for lost ground going into Q4.

“September was bad. October is great. November is great. December is great,” Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe summarized, telling Twitter followers to “buy the f*cking dip.”

Van de Poppe highlighted historical performance across various months each year, something which Cointelegraph previously noted all but consigned September to be a “boring” 30 days.

Others, however, were more cautious. In its latest market update, crypto trading firm QCP Capital said that it would remain cautious in its approach to the market as a whole.

“Overall, we struggle to find any directional conviction amidst the macro and market crosswinds. Our strategy going into Q4 is to remain fairly neutral and nimble,” executives summarized.

Macro factors at play were China’s reiteration of its crypto crackdown and two United States issues: legislation and the potential approval of a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF).

On Friday, a vote on the government’s infrastructure bill, originally slated to happen Monday, was again delayed after a shutdown later this month was averted in a separate vote.

Ethereum returns to $3,000

Altcoins meanwhile saw another 24 hours of modest to flat moves, again headed by Binance Coin (BNB) on 6% daily gains.

Related: Bitcoin ‘FOMO rally’ long overdue that could see BTC price top $200K — Bobby Lee

All of the top ten cryptocurrencies by market cap were in the green at the time of writing, however, marking a refreshing contrast to recent action.

Ether (ETH), the largest altcoin, traded above $3,000 on the back of 3% returns.

ETH/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

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